NYTimes: Panel’s Warning on Climate Risk: Worst Is Yet to Come
A collection of opinionated commentaries on culture, politics and religion compiled predominantly from an American viewpoint but tempered by a global vision. My Armwood Opinion Youtube Channel @ YouTube I have a Jazz Blog @ Jazz and a Technology Blog @ Technology. I have a Human Rights Blog @ Law
Monday, March 31, 2014
Sunday, March 30, 2014
Panel’s Warning on Climate Risk: Worst Is Yet to Come - NYTimes.com
The report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations group that periodically summarizes climate science, concluded that ice caps are melting, sea ice in the Arctic is collapsing, water supplies are coming under stress, heat waves and heavy rains are intensifying, coral reefs are dying, and fish and many other creatures are migrating toward the poles or in some cases going extinct.
The oceans are rising at a pace that threatens coastal communities and are becoming more acidic as they absorb some of the carbon dioxide given off by cars and power plants, which is killing some creatures or stunting their growth, the report found.
Panel’s Warning on Climate Risk: Worst Is Yet to Come - NYTimes.com
Panel’s Warning on Climate Risk: Worst Is Yet to Come - NYTimes.com
The report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations group that periodically summarizes climate science, concluded that ice caps are melting, sea ice in the Arctic is collapsing, water supplies are coming under stress, heat waves and heavy rains are intensifying, coral reefs are dying, and fish and many other creatures are migrating toward the poles or in some cases going extinct.
The oceans are rising at a pace that threatens coastal communities and are becoming more acidic as they absorb some of the carbon dioxide given off by cars and power plants, which is killing some creatures or stunting their growth, the report found.
Clinton Is Polling Like an Incumbent, And That Could Help Her in 2016 | FiveThirtyEight
Clinton Is Polling Like an Incumbent, And That Could Help Her in 2016 | FiveThirtyEight
New G.O.P. Bid to Limit Voting in Swing States - NYTimes.com
" CINCINNATI — Pivotal swing states under Republican control are embracing significant new electoral restrictions on registering and voting that go beyond the voter identification requirements that have caused fierce partisan brawls.
The bills, laws and administrative rules — some of them tried before — shake up fundamental components of state election systems, including the days and times polls are open and the locations where people vote.
Republicans in Ohio and Wisconsin this winter pushed through measures limiting the time polls are open, in particular cutting into weekend voting favored by low-income voters and blacks, who sometimes caravan from churches to polls on the Sunday before election.
"Democrats in North Carolina are scrambling to fight back against the nation’s most restrictive voting laws, passed by Republicans there last year. The measures, taken together, sharply reduce the number of early voting days and establish rules that make it more difficult for people to register to vote, cast provisional ballots or, in a few cases, vote absentee."
Saturday, March 29, 2014
Paul Ryan still trying to convince us he doesn't have 'a racist bone in my body'
Paul Ryan still trying to convince us he doesn't have 'a racist bone in my body'
Paul Ryan still trying to convince us he doesn't have 'a racist bone in my body'
Paul Ryan still trying to convince us he doesn't have 'a racist bone in my body'
How Businesses Use Your SATs - NYTimes.com
How Businesses Use Your SATs - NYTimes.com
Friday, March 28, 2014
Thursday, March 27, 2014
In Defense of Google Flu Trends - Alexis C. Madrigal - The Atlantic
MAR 27 2014, 10:27 AM
"In 2008, Google released an experiment called Flu Trends, which attempted to predict the prevalence of the flu from searches that users made for about 40 flu-related queries.
Based on the data up to that point in time, Flu Trends worked really well. The Centers for Disease Control, which had been involved in shaping how it functioned, liked the data that it produced.
Even the reliable pro-nerd hangout Slashdot headlined their thread 'Google Flu Trends Suggests Limits of Crowdsourcing.'
"We really are excited about the future of using different technologies, including technology like this, in trying to figure out if there's better ways to do surveillance for outbreaks of influenza or any other diseases in the United States," Joseph Bresee, the chief of the epidemiology and prevention branch in the CDC's influenza division, said at the time.
And so, aside from some misplaced nagging about privacy, the new tool was celebrated in the news media. All the big outlets covered it:CNN, The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and many, many more.
Flu Trends fit the golden image of Google, circa 2008: a company that did gee-whiz things just because they were good ideas.
This was the era of Google.org, formed under a guy named Larry Brilliant, who said things like, "I envision a kid (in Africa) getting online and finding that there is an outbreak of cholera down the street. I envision someone in Cambodia finding out that there is leprosy across the street." As the global economy collapsed, Google gleamed among the ruins.
This was all years before people started even talking about "big data."
But times have changed. Now, data talk is everywhere, and people are more worried than excited. The NSA looms over every tech discussion.
An Atlantic Special Report
Google Flu Trends Gets It Wrong Three Years Running
Why Google Flu Is a Failure
A Case of Good Data Gone Bad
Data Fail! How Google Flu Trends Fell Way Short
Google Flu Trends Failure Shows Drawbacks of Big Data
Even the reliable pro-nerd hangout Slashdot headlined their thread on the story, "Google Flu Trends Suggests Limits of Crowdsourcing."
A skim of the headlines and most of the stories would lead you to believe that Google Flu Trends had gone horribly wrong. Here, this thing was nominally supposed to predict future CDC reports—and it wasn't even as good as simple extrapolations from past CDC reports.
How you like them apples, Google/Big Data!
But lurking in the Lazer paper was an interesting fact about the Google Flu Trends data: when you combined it with the CDC's standard monitoring, you actually got abetter result than either could provide alone. "Greater value can be obtained by combining GFT with other near–real time health data," Lazer wrote. "For example, by combining GFT and lagged CDC data."
If that was true, and the CDC was aware of it, couldn't they simply combine the data on their own and have a better epidemiological understanding of the country? And if that was true, wasn't Flu Trends a success, at least according to the standards laid out in theNature paper describing it in 2009?"
REPORT: Nearly 50,000 Russian Troops Amassing Near Ukraine
"WASHINGTON—Russian troops massing near Ukraine are actively concealing their positions and establishing supply lines that could be used in a prolonged deployment, ratcheting up concerns that Moscow is preparing for another major incursion and not conducting exercises as it claims, U.S. officials said.
Such an incursion could take place without warning because Russia has already deployed the array of military forces needed for such an operation, say officials briefed on the latest U.S. intelligence."
Wednesday, March 26, 2014
Geopolitical Rivalries Color an Extraordinary Joint Effort to Find Missing Jet - NYTimes.com
" For example, Indian officials were reluctant to discuss radar data from the Bay of Bengal, along one of the plane’s most likely paths. That turned out to be because there was not much data — the area was a weak spot in the country’s radar coverage. In an interview, a senior Indian military official said India did not keep “heavy surveillance” capabilities there because it was not a tense area, unlike the country’s northern border with Pakistan.
Some of the sharpest tensions have risen between China and Malaysia. Chinese officials have denounced Malaysia for its reluctance to share information about the search. Most of the 239 people on board the flight are Chinese.
At the same time, China has also been unwilling to share with other nations its raw military radar data, even it might have helped investigators pin down whether the plane had flown north, toward Central Asia. Instead, China, like several other countries, simply told Malaysian officials that its radars had not spotted the plane.
“They won’t share radar data,” said one Western official here who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the delicate diplomatic issues. “They’ve told us and everybody else, ‘We didn’t see it, period.’ They’re not willing to share the data.”
One possible explanation is that China wants to not only hide its technological capabilities, but also the limits of that technology, even as it hasgrown bolder in asserting itself as a military power, analysts say."
Monday, March 24, 2014
Sunday, March 23, 2014
N.S.A. Breached Chinese Servers Seen as Security Threat - NYTimes.com
N.S.A. Breached Chinese Servers Seen as Security Threat - NYTimes.com
Saturday, March 22, 2014
Franklin Graham: Putin is better than Obama on gay rights
This is disgusting but typical of evangelical beliefs.
Franklin Graham: Putin is better than Obama on gay rights
Paul Ryan, Culture and Poverty - NYTimes.com
" Representative Barbara Lee, a California Democrat, said in a statement, “Let’s be clear, when Mr. Ryan says ‘inner city,’ when he says, ‘culture,’ these are simply code words for what he really means: ‘black.’ ”
Ryan has agreed to meet with the Congressional Black Caucus, of which Lee’s a member and which found his remarks “highly offensive.”
But at a town hall meeting on Wednesday, Ryan was rebuked by one of his own constituents, a black man from Mount Pleasant, Wis., named Alfonso Gardner.
Gardner told Ryan, “The bottom line is this: Your statement was not true.” He continued, “That’s a code word for ‘black.’ ”
But instead of cushioning his comments, Ryan shot back, “There was nothing whatsoever about race in my comments at all — it had nothing to do with race.”
That would have been more believable if Ryan hadn’t prefaced his original comments by citing Charles Murray, who has essentially argued that blacks are genetically inferior to whites and whom the Southern Poverty Law Center labels a “white nationalist.” (The center’s definition: “White nationalist groups espouse white supremacist or white separatist ideologies, often focusing on the alleged inferiority of nonwhites.”)
Whatever Ryan meant by men “in our inner cities” and their culture, the comment obscures the vast dimension of poverty in America and seeks an easy scapegoat for it.
According to the Institute for Research on Poverty at the University of Wisconsin-Madison (in Ryan’s home state), the gap between the poverty rate in inner cities and that in rural areas and small towns is not as great as one might suspect. The inner city poverty rate is 19.7 percent, and the poverty rate in rural areas and small towns is 16.5 percent.
Furthermore, as Mark R. Rank, a professor of social welfare at Washington University, argued several months ago in The New York Times:
“Few topics in American society have more myths and stereotypes surrounding them than poverty, misconceptions that distort both our politics and our domestic policy making. They include the notion that poverty affects a relatively small number of Americans, that the poor are impoverished for years at a time, that most of those in poverty live in inner cities, that too much welfare assistance is provided and that poverty is ultimately a result of not working hard enough. Although pervasive, each assumption is flat-out wrong.”
His research, he noted, indicates that “40 percent of Americans between the ages of 25 and 60 will experience at least one year below the official poverty line during that period” and “54 percent will spend a year in poverty or near poverty.” Rank concluded, “Put simply, poverty is a mainstream event experienced by a majority of Americans.”
By suggesting that laziness is more concentrated among the poor, inner city or not, we shift our moral obligation to deal forthrightly with poverty. When we insinuate that poverty is the outgrowth of stunted culture, that it is almost always invited and never inflicted, we avert the gaze from the structural features that help maintain and perpetuate poverty — discrimination, mass incarceration, low wages, educational inequities — while simultaneously degrading and dehumanizing those who find themselves trapped by it.
Other parts of Ryan’s original interview were on target, when he talked about the value and dignity of work and the way that work builds character. Work doesn’t always alleviate poverty, in part because some people are forced to work for less than a living wage, though work does bring dignity."
"(CNN) - Based on intelligence, Obama administration officials are very concerned the Russians are not being truthful when they say their forces near Ukraine's eastern and southern borders are merely there for training exercises, sources tell CNN.
Officials assess that Russia – as early as coming days - could use any number of pretexts to justify further military incursions into Ukraine."
Friday, March 21, 2014
Chick-Fil-A CEO Accused Of 'Selling Out' After Backtracking On Anti-Gay Remarks
Did you expect anything less from this bigot? Boycott Chick Filet.
Fallout From Snowden Hurting Bottom Line of Tech Companies - NYTimes.com
"SAN FRANCISCO — Microsoft has lost customers, including the government of Brazil.
IBM is spending more than a billion dollars to build data centers overseas to reassure foreign customers that their information is safe from prying eyes in the United States government."
Thursday, March 20, 2014
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
The politics of flight 370 | MSNBC
The politics of flight 370 | MSNBC
Tuesday, March 18, 2014
Christie's Stronger than the Storm Jersey Shore post-Sandy ad cover up | New Republic
"As you may recall, Christie came under criticism during his reelection campaign last summer for having inserted himself and his family into the rousing “Stronger than the Storm” ads encouraging tourists to come back to the Jersey Shore. The ads had been funded by federal Sandy recovery aid, and it seemed eyebrow-raising, at the least, for them to feature beaming pictures of a governor in the middle of a reelection campaign, rather than just your average smiling New Jerseyans."
NYTimes: Putin Declares Crimea Is a Part of Russia. Russian Imperialism is back, Czar Vladimir the First
Monday, March 17, 2014
A big-bang theory gets a big boost: Evidence that vast cosmos were created in split second - The Washington Post
A big-bang theory gets a big boost: Evidence that vast cosmos were created in split second - The Washington Post
That Old-Time Whistle - NYTimes.com
"So it’s comical, in a way, to see Mr. Ryan trying to explain away some recent remarks in which he attributed persistent poverty to a “culture, in our inner cities in particular, of men not working and just generations of men not even thinking about working.” He was, he says, simply being “inarticulate.” How could anyone suggest that it was a racial dog-whistle? Why, he even cited the work of serious scholars — people like Charles Murray, most famous for arguing that blacks are genetically inferior to whites. Oh, wait.
Just to be clear, there’s no evidence that Mr. Ryan is personally a racist, and his dog-whistle may not even have been deliberate. But it doesn’t matter. He said what he said because that’s the kind of thing conservatives say to each other all the time. And why do they say such things? Because American conservatism is still, after all these years, largely driven by claims that liberals are taking away your hard-earned money and giving it to Those People.
Indeed, race is the Rosetta Stone that makes sense of many otherwise incomprehensible aspects of U.S. politics.
We are told, for example, that conservatives are against big government and high spending. Yet even as Republican governors and state legislatures block the expansion of Medicaid, the G.O.P. angrily denounces modest cost-saving measures for Medicare. How can this contradiction be explained? Well, what do many Medicaid recipients look like — and I’m talking about the color of their skin, not the content of their character — and how does that compare with the typical Medicare beneficiary? Mystery solved.
Or we’re told that conservatives, the Tea Party in particular, oppose handouts because they believe in personal responsibility, in a society in which people must bear the consequences of their actions. Yet it’s hard to find angry Tea Party denunciations of huge Wall Street bailouts, of huge bonuses paid to executives who were saved from disaster by government backing and guarantees. Instead, all the movement’s passion, starting with Rick Santelli’s famous rant on CNBC, has been directed against any hint of financial relief for low-income borrowers. And what is it about these borrowers that makes them such targets of ire? You know the answer."
Sunday, March 16, 2014
BBC News - Missing Malaysia plane: MH370 and the military gaps
“Start Quote
Hishammuddin HusseinMalaysian acting transport ministerThis is an unprecedented case. It may change aviation history”
BBC News - Missing Malaysia plane: MH370 and the military gaps
Paul Ryan’s Irish Amnesia - NYTimes.com
" A great debate raged in London: Would it be wrong to feed the starving Irish with free food, thereby setting up a “culture of dependency”? Certainly England’s man in charge of easing the famine, Sir Charles Trevelyan, thought so. “Dependence on charity,” he declared, “is not to be made an agreeable mode of life.”
And there I ran into Paul Ryan. His great-great-grandfather had fled to America. But the Republican congressman was very much in evidence, wagging his finger at the famished. His oft-stated “culture of dependency” is a safety net that becomes a lazy-day hammock. But it was also England’s excuse for lethal negligence.
There is no comparison, of course, between the de facto genocide that resulted from British policy, and conservative criticism of modern American poverty programs.
But you can’t help noticing the deep historic irony that finds a Tea Party favorite and descendant of famine Irish using the same language that English Tories used to justify indifference to an epic tragedy."
Saturday, March 15, 2014
Pakistan is clearly not our ally.
Sentence Cut for Bin Laden Figure - NYTimes.com
" ISLAMABAD, Pakistan — A Pakistani official reduced by 10 years the 33-year sentence of a Pakistani medical doctor who had helped the C.I.A. track down Osama bin Laden, local news media reported Saturday.
The doctor, Shakil Afridi, was arrested in 2011 after members of an American Navy SEAL unit killed Bin Laden in his Abbottabad compound. The raid caused the tumultuous relationship between United States and Pakistan to plummet to a new low as Pakistan called it a violation of the country’s territorial sovereignty.
In 2012, Dr. Afridi was convicted of treason and sentenced to 33 years in prison. On Saturday, the judicial official, Munir Azam, the commissioner of Frontier Crimes Regulation in Peshawar, reduced Dr. Afridi’s sentence to 23 years. Dr. Afridi earned the wrath of Pakistani officials after he helped pin down Bin Laden’s location under the cover of a vaccination campaign in Abbottabad. But the charges against him in a tribal court accused him of aiding a banned militant group. Dr. Afridi denies the charges.
Last August, Pakistani officials set aside the earlier conviction and ordered a retrial. But the decision on Saturday took the lawyers and family of Dr. Afridi by surprise. Samiullah Afridi, a lawyer for Dr. Afridi, was quoted by local news media outlets as saying that his client wanted a retrial and not a review of the earlier case. “We are not satisfied with the decision,” the lawyer was quoted as saying.
The arrest of Dr. Afridi was a point of contention between Pakistan and the United States, and Americans officials have repeatedly urged the Pakistanis to release him. While the Americans portray Dr. Afridi as a hero, Pakistani officials and much of the local media have portrayed him as a traitor."
Friday, March 14, 2014
2014: A Waste Odyssey - The Daily Show with Jon Stewart - 03/13/14 -2014: A Waste Odyssey Fox News holds America's poor and its corporations to different standards, and JPMorgan Chase makes a quick buck in the food stamp debit card business
Racists to Party Tonight at CPAC | Hatewatch
Racists to Party Tonight at CPAC | Hatewatch
NYTimes: In 2 East Harlem Buildings Leveled by Explosion, Lives Entwined as in Bygone Era
A very sad tale of sudden death in the wonderful cultural mix that makes New York the world's finest city.
Yes, It Is About Race | Lisa Bloom
Yes, It Is About Race | Lisa Bloom
Thursday, March 13, 2014
303 Deaths Seen in G.M. Cars With Failed Air Bags - NYTimes.com
failure to correct a defective ignition switch, a new review of federal crash
data shows that 303 people died after the air bags failed to deploy on two
of the models that were recalled last month.
The review of the air bag failures from 2003 to 2012, by the Friedman
Research Corporation, adds to the mounting reports of problems that went
unheeded before General Motors announced last month that it was
recalling more than 1.6 million cars worldwide because of the defective
switch. G.M. has linked 12 deaths to the faulty switch in the two models
analyzed, the 2005-7 Chevrolet Cobalts and 2003-7 Saturn Ions, as well as
four other models.
303 Deaths Seen in G.M. Cars With Failed Air Bags - NYTimes.com
Huckabee Jokes About War Of Northern Aggression
No one should be surprised that Southern Baptist minister, Republican Presidential Candidate and Fox TV host would make an extreme statement like this. This support of the Confederacy is embedded in the faith 9f the Southern Baptist Convention which was founded on it's rebellion from mainstream Baptists who opposed slavery. As the Bible says how can a bad tree produce good fruit". The evangelical tradition is in large part based on the elitist, racist writings of John Calvin who simply took Plato's concept of the finite Cosmos and superimposed it on the teachings of Martin Luther. He developed the heretical concept of Biblical inerrancy which did not exist in Christianity before him. He praised well and treated the poor as those with moral failings because they were not blessed by God. This perverted theology is at the root of evangelical Christianity and Presbyterian theology. It makes racism and gay bashing easy. I know of some well meaning unsophisticated Christians who were initially fooled by Huckabee' profession of Christian faith when they should have been as was put off by it. His particular evangelical branch of Christianity is dominant in the South and has been spread noxiously to the developing world capturing many naive people in Africa, Asia and South America. They reject science. Claim evolution is not real, deny global warming and ha even sponsored groups who have advicated the death penalty for gassing Uganda and only back tracked and lied about their previous support when the American and British m3dia shone a light on their horrific activities. They have supported similar hate legislation in Kenya. Huckabee is who he is. He is a representative of an heretical strain of Christianity that is based in racism, male hegemony over women and gay bashing.
Tuesday, March 11, 2014
Monday, March 10, 2014
Bernice King turns over Nobel Prize and Bible to court | www.ajc.com
Sunday, March 09, 2014
The children of Japan's Fukushima battle an invisible enemy | Reuters
Rula Jebreal Interview | 20to30 A Sense of Purpose
Rula Jebreal Interview | 20to30
Auto Regulators Dismissed Defect Tied to 13 Deaths - NYTimes.com
Auto Regulators Dismissed Defect Tied to 13 Deaths - NYTimes.com
Rio’s Race to Future Intersects Slave Past - NYTimes.com
Americas, outranking places like Charleston, S.C.; Kingston, Jamaica; and
Salvador in northeast Brazil. Altogether, Rio received more than 1.8 million African slaves, or 21.5 percent of all slaves who landed in the
Americas, said Mariana P. Candido, a historian at the University of
Kansas.
Slavery’s legacy is clear across Brazil, where more than half of its 200
million people define themselves as black or mixed race, giving the nation
more people of African descent than any other country outside Africa. In
Rio, the large majority of slaves came from what is now Angola, said
Walter Hawthorne, a historian at Michigan State University.
“Rio was a culturally vibrant African city,” Dr. Hawthorne said. “The
foods people ate, the way they worshiped, how they dressed and more were
to a large extent influenced by Angolan cultural norms.”
Rio’s Race to Future Intersects Slave Past - NYTimes.com
Rio’s Race to Future Intersects Slave Past - NYTimes.com
million people define themselves as black or mixed race, giving the nation
more people of African descent than any other country outside Africa. In
Rio, the large majority of slaves came from what is now Angola, said
Walter Hawthorne, a historian at Michigan State University.
“Rio was a culturally vibrant African city,” Dr. Hawthorne said. “The
foods people ate, the way they worshiped, how they dressed and more were
to a large extent influenced by Angolan cultural norms.”
Brazil abolished slavery in 1888, making it the last country in the
Americas to do so.
Rio’s Race to Future Intersects Slave Past - NYTimes.com
Saturday, March 08, 2014
How white men figure into Democrats’ future Steve Kornacki explains how he thinks white, working class men loom large over the the long-term future of the Democratic Party. President of the Brooklyn chapter of the NAACP L. Joy Williams and Chair of the Oakland County Michigan Democratic Party Frank Houston join the discussion.
Friday, March 07, 2014
Ex-Christie Aide Fights Order To Give Up Records
"TRENTON, N.J. (AP) — A former aide to New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says in legal papers that there's a "real and substantial threat" of self-incrimination if she gives state lawmakers records they have requested from her as they look into a political payback scandal involving Christie's office.
In a court filing made public Friday, Bridget Anne Kelly's lawyers say federal authorities have requested interviews with Kelly, her parents, her ex-husband and former in-laws. The lawyers say none of them has been willing to talk.
Christie fired Kelly in January after her text message saying "Time for some traffic problems in Fort Lee" was made public."
Who’s the Villain Here? - NYTimes.com
should have learned to feel nervous when hawks jump up and down and
say “do something!” We tried that in Iraq. When there are no good
options, a flexing of muscles by NATO or by American warships in the
Black Sea would only reinforce President Vladimir Putin’s narrative to his
home audience while raising the risk of conflict by accident or
miscalculation
Who’s the Villain Here? - NYTimes.com
Thursday, March 06, 2014
NPR Faces Listener Backlash After Scott Lively Interview | Hatewatch
Oh, Really, Bill? Once Again, O’Reilly Can’t Admit a Mistake | Hatewatch
I wrote O’Reilly and Factor producer Nick Robertson early this week, asking sweetly if they might put me on to defend myself and show that what I said was based on real data. Today, in an E-mail from Robertson, they refused.
Oh, Really, Bill? Once Again, O’Reilly Can’t Admit a Mistake | Hatewatch
Wednesday, March 05, 2014
Monday, March 03, 2014
Marissa Alexander could face 60 years | MSNBC
Marissa Alexander could face 60 years | MSNBC
The Overrating of Rand Paul 2016.
The Overrating of Rand Paul 2016.
George W. Bush must have missed something when he saw Putin's Soul. "I looked the man in the eye. I found him to be very straight forward and trustworthy and we had a very good dialogue. "I was able to get a sense of his soul."
George W. Bush must have missed something when he saw Putin's Soul
Sunday, March 02, 2014
America Doesn't Read Much, Says Map
"Congrats, America, we're all illiterate assholes. Or at least, according to this map, we read a hell of a lot less than the rest of the world.
The data comes by way of the NOP World Culture Score Index, and the map comes from @Amazing_Maps. It puts India at number one, reading 10 hours and 42 minutes each week, and the U.S. is eating its dust all the way down at number 22 with a paltry five hours and 42 minutes each week. Here's the full list:"