From The New Republic - WOULD ANOTHER ATTACK DEFINITELY HELP BUSH?: This Washington Post article suggests a terrorist attack in the United States between now and the election would be an unambiguous plus for the president's reelection campaign:
Peter D. Feaver, a political scientist at Duke University who studies national security and public opinion, said he believes Bush probably remains "in the driver's seat" on terrorism. If there is a terrorism incident before the election, he said, there would probably be a "rally around the flag" impact that would favor any incumbent, so long as the administration was not seen as politicizing the incident, as occurred in Spain after a pre-election terrorist attack in the spring.
A Kerry adviser, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue, said the campaign has discussed at length what would happen in the event of an attack and reached a conclusion similar to Feaver's, with any effect being strongest the closer to Election Day. But this adviser said campaign officials have concluded there is little that can be done to anticipate such an effect or counteract it.
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